Wednesday, November 26, 2008

A Turkey Day Pick 6 Special

Tomorrow is Thanksgiving and I would like to wish you and yours a very happy Thanksgiving.

The third best thing besides the family and the food is the football.

This year we have 3 games to watch, well only 2 for me since I don't have the NFL Network.

I am not sure how good the games are going to be but I am going to give you a special pick 6 against the spread so that while you are enjoying the company and the food, you can try to make some money while you are doing it.

The three games are:

Tennessee (10-1) @ Detroit (0-11)

Seattle (2-9) @ Dallas (7-4)

Arizona (7-4) @ Philadelphia (5-5-1)

I will just start my picks with the early game. This seems like the most lopsided on paper with the teams records the way they are. I would've loved to see Tennessee win last week and have this be undefeated versus the team without any wins. That would have been something to talk about at the dinner table. It didn't work out that way but its still should be fun to watch because I love watching the Lions (no matter how bad they are) on Thanksgiving. Its tradition and all this talk of changing it is ridiculous! Tennessee is favorite by 11 and the over/under is 44.

I know Detroit gets hyped up for Thanksgiving every year but this team is bad. Take Tennessee against the 11 and take the under.

Now we have two underachieving teams in the evening game. Dallas was the pre-season favorite to win the NFC and the Superbowl and well Seattle was just supposed to better then this. Injuries have really taken a toll on both teams but Dallas seems to be getting healthy at the right time and had the talent to make it through the injuries with a shot at the playoffs still. Seattle doesn't and really isn't playing for anything at this point. I mean nothing, Holmgren is leaving at the end of the season so they can't even be playing for the coach at this point.

The line in this game is actually higher then the last game. Dallas is favorite by 13. My first point here is that Tennessee has been the best team in the league for most of the season and Detroit has been the worst and yet Dallas is still favorite by more then the Titans here. I know its home versus road but I still think its ridiculous. Now that I have stepped back down off my soap box the over/under is 47. That's a lot of points.Here is the pick for this game. Even though its high take Dallas. They are going to try to make a point and this game could get ugly. The over/under is high but I can see this game ending like 38-10 and that's 48 so take the over.

The final game and probably the most intriguing game is Arizona at Philly. McNabb was named the starter after being benched at halftime last week. It's definitely a curious move in my mind being that when he was benched the game was 10-7. I figured that was it for McNabb in Philly but I guess not. Arizona's offense is awesome but its going to be really cold and Philly's defense isn't bad. Philadelphia is actually the favorite in this game by 3 and the over/under is 46.5.

It's very interesting to me that Vegas has the Eagles favorite here. I know the game is in Philly but after the week they had last week I really thought they would have much less faith in the E-A-G-L-E-S, Eagles then that. I know McNabb is coming back but that is such a huge question mark.Here is the pick! Take the dog here. Arizona is going to win this game outright. McNabb will make it to the end but it won't be a great game. I feel as though the weather will be a big factor in the game. I know its hard to take the under in any game the Cardinals are in but I'm going to do that too.

Recap of the picks:

Tennessee (-11) and the OVER

Dallas (-13) and the OVER

Arizona (+3) and the UNDER

Enjoy the family, friends and football fans!

1 comment:

GM said...

Dallas....underachievers???

Considering their PRO BOWL CALIBER quarterback was OUT for like 4 weeks I think they are right where they should be.

Dallas is good and will win but it might be a little closer than you think.

And the reason why they are favored bye more than Tennessee is simple.....Dallas is BETTER at offense.

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